This working paper estimates the contribution of financial shocks to fluctuations in the real economy by augmenting the standard macroeconomic vector autoregression (VAR) with five financial variables (real stock prices, real house prices, term spread, loans-to-GDP ratio and loans-todeposits ratio). This VAR is estimated separately for 19 industrialised countries over 1980Q1-2010Q4 using three alternative measures of economic activity: GDP, private consumption or total investment. Financial shocks are identified by imposing a recursive structure.
Publisher: BCL
Collection: Cahiers d'études BCL
Language (s):
English
Format: A4 (210 * 297 mm)
Price: Free
Date of publication: 13-03-2012