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The BCL’s consumer confidence indicator has rebounded markedly in November 2016. All the components of the indicator have evolved favourably this month, with the exception of households’ expectations about their personal financial situation which have deteriorated.
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The Luxembourg economy is expected to show a growth in GDP of close to 4% in 2016 and 2017, a rate of expansion comparable to that observed in 2013 by STATEC. This growth is based more on domestic demand, particularly consumption and investment, and should allow unemployment to continue to decline.
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Growth in economic activity in euro-zone countries remained modest in the 3rd quarter. While disappointing performance in Germany and France dampened overall momentum, peripheral countries had a successful summer period. At the start of the last quarter of the year, opinion surveys conducted among euro-zone business leaders seemed to be sending out better signals.
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On 31 October 2016, Luxembourg had 16 819 registered unemployed residents. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 6.3%.
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In October 2016, the consumer price index, calculated by STATEC, is lagging behind. It displays a monthly rate of -0.03%. Prices excluding petroleum products fell by 0.15%, while the prices of petroleum products increased by 2.4%. The annual inflation rate continues its slow rise to stand at 0.5%.
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The BCL informs that the aggregated balance sheet of credit institutions reached 745 101 million euros on 30 September 2016, compared to 766 831 million euros on 31 August 2016, a decrease of 2.8%.
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Not necessarily if you take a close look at a STATEC analysis. For the period 2009-2013, the results show an increase in the poverty rate for unskilled workers in Luxembourg. Health indicators also indicate conditions deteriorating. People aged 50 to 64 years and with a secondary or tertiary education are the most affected.
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This publication from LISER proposes a two-parameter family of socio-economic health inequality indices. This approach is a multidimensional extension of Yitzhaki's Gini indices accounting simultaneously for risk and redistribution.
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This publication from BCL provides the first available estimates of systemic risk in the financial sector comprising the banking and investment fund industries during 2009 - 2015.
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Uneven but sustained growth
26-10-2016 | STATEC

After falling in the 1st quarter, Luxembourg GDP recovered well over the spring. Despite the adjustments to figures for previous quarters, underlying activity trends remain unchanged: although these have been relatively high since 2013, growth in the financial sector has been slowing since 2015. The indicators available for the 3rd quarter, particularly the results of opinion surveys and figures for the financial markets, suggest that the economic climate remains relatively buoyant.
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